Thursday, September 30, 2010

COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS: WEEK 5*

Last week, I picked with the spreads, and went 6-3-1 (Oregon/Arizona State was a push). So i'll continue with the spreads this week. Again, I'm getting these spreads from VegasInsider.com.

Thursday 7:30 PM - ESPN
Texas A&M Aggies @ Oklahoma State Cowboys
I'm taking the Cowboys -3 against A&M. I know the Aggies have improved this year, and both teams are 3-0. But the game's in Stillwater, and I'm not totally sold on A&M yet.



The rest of the games I picked for are on Saturday...

12:00 PM - ESPN2
#16 Miami Hurricanes @ Clemson Tigers
I'm kind of surprised Miami is only favored by 3, after they torched Pittsburgh on the road last week. I'm taking Miami -3, because Clemson won't be able to keep up with them.



12:00 PM
Florida State Seminoles @ Virginia Cavaliers
I'm taking FSU -7. The Noles are 3-1, with their only loss coming in Norman, Oklahoma. That's not bad. I guess UVA deserves some credit for keeping pace with USC a few weeks ago, but their only two wins came against Richmond and VMI. FSU covers comfortably.



12:00 PM
Temple Owls @ Army Black Knights
I'm taking Temple -4.5, even though I've yet to see either team play. Temple is actually good, and Army is still Army.

3:30 PM - ABC
#11 Wisconsin Badgers @ #24 Michigan State Spartans
I know the game's in East Lansing, but I have to take the Badgers -1.5 here. Both teams are 4-0, and this will be a pivotal game in determining the Big Ten title. I just like Wisconsin more.



3:30 PM - ABC
Virginia Tech Hokies @ #23 NC State Wolfpack
I'm taking NCSU +4 at home. I guess Tech's shutout win over BC impressed some people. But BC's offense is atrocious, and any team with reasonable athleticism can shut them down. NC State is the dark horse to claim the ACC title, as they're 4-0, and have already vanquished Georgia Tech on the road.



3:30 PM - ABC
#21 Texas Longhorns vs. #8 Oklahoma Sooners (in Dallas, TX)
Before the season, I predicted OU would win this game. But I'll bet against my heart and take Texas +4. I just haven't been that impressed with the Sooners. And while Texas has also struggled, especially with turnovers, they're still just as good as OU. So with the 4 points, I'll take the Longhorns.



6:30 PM
Arizona State Sun Devils @ Oregon State Beavers
OSU got little credit for hanging with Boise State. I'll take them -3.5 at home against a not-so-good ASU side. The Sun Devils have played close games against tough teams like Wisconsin and Oregon. But they lost. And their two wins came against Portland State and Northern Arizona. So with the small spread, and the game in Corvallis, I'll take the Beavers.



7:00 PM
Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Iowa State Cyclones
ISU sucks, so I'm taking Texas Tech -7. Pretty standard here.



8:00 PM - CBS
#7 Florida Gators @ #1 Alabama Crimson Tide
To be honest, if I were actually betting money, I wouldn't wager on this game. The 8 point spread is too perfect. But since this is just a blog, I can feel free to say that I'll take Alabama -8. I don't think Florida is all that good. They're a Top 20 team, maybe. But not Top 10.



8:00 PM - ABC
#9 Stanford Cardinal @ #4 Oregon
The Pac-10 title might be decided in Eugene Saturday night. I'm taking Stanford +7. I think the Cardinal might be able to keep it close. Then again, I wouldn't be shocked if Oregon racked up 40+.

Wednesday, September 29, 2010

WHAT WE LEARNED IN COLLEGE FOOTBALL*

Finally, we had a good weekend of shake ups and surprises. But there were also far too many bland blowouts. Teams should be allowed to face I-AA opponents in Week 1 and Week 1 only. And no team should be allowed to face two (Syracuse played Maine last week, and Colgate on Saturday). So here are the lessons...

1. MIAMI IS THE ONLY GOOD TEAM IN THE ACC

The Hurricanes blew through Pittsburgh, vanquishing their former Big East mates 31-3 on Thursday night. Meanwhile, the rest of the ACC didn't look so hot. Boston College has no offense. Georgia Tech fell to 2-2 and look very drab. Duke lost to Army. Maryland won, but let Florida International score 28. UNC did get a win, though. And I guess Florida State had a decent victory over Wake Forest. But Miami has actually gone out and performed. They're still my pick to win the ACC,

2. TENNESSEE SUCKS

There are very few "middle class" teams in the SEC. You're either Top 15 material, or you're awful. Tennessee needed overtime to beat UAB in Knoxville. That should count as a tie, or even a loss. The Vols play LSU in Baton Rouge next week, and that should be a laugher.

3. ARMY MIGHT MAKE A BOWL GAME

Every year, I root for Army to make it to a bowl game. They haven't been to one since 1996. But it'd be a great story. They already have 3 wins, so only need 3 more. As mentioned above, they beat Duke. They host VMI on October 30th, so that should be win #4. They might be able to beat Tulane. How sweet would it be, though, if win #6 came against Notre Dame in Yankee Stadium on November 20?

4. THE SEC WEST IS RIDICULOUS

In case you didn't know... I'd say that the 4 best teams in the SEC play in the West (Bama, Arkansas, LSU, Auburn). Florida might be ranked 7th, but their schedule has been soft to this point. They play Bama and LSU the next two weeks, and the SEC West will make some statements. Arkansas/Auburn is October 16th. LSU/Auburn is October 23rd. Alabama/LSU is November 6th. Auburn/Alabama is November 6th. LSU/Arkansas is November 27th. These games will all have SEC West, and therefore SEC, and therefore National Title implications.

5. NOTRE DAME REALLY SUCKS

The Irish might not make a bowl game. They're 1-3, and still have to play Pitt, Navy, Utah, and USC. They can't afford to lose at Boston College this upcoming Saturday night. And they just might, as BC usually has their number.

6. TEMPLE IS GOOD

I remember when Temple was purged from the Big East. They were a cupcake team. And although I have yet to see them play, they've been impressive. They beat UConn 30-16, then went to Happy Valley and made it a game against Penn State. They were 9-4 last year and went to a bowl game. I wouldn't be shocked if another 9 win season came again, maybe even a MAC title.

7. THE RED RIVER SHOOTOUT DOESN'T MEAN SO MUCH

Texas embarrassed themselves against UCLA, allowing 264 yards on the ground, and turning the ball over 5 times. The Longhorns may have been looking ahead to their matchup with Oklahoma. But UT also had turnover problems against Texas Tech, and that game was close until the 4th quarter. Meanwhile, Oklahoma is 4-0, but they've not been impressive. Wins are wins, but Cincinnati let the Sooners slide with a mediocre effort. The Bearcats stopped the run, Landry Jones makes arrogant passes, and if Cincy had been able to finish drives and hang on to the ball, they would have won.

Nebraska will win the Big XII. There, I said it.

8. NEVADA SHOULD BE FEARED
The biggest Nevada fans outside of DP and Reno are the good old boys behind the BCS. After a 27-13 victory over BYU in Provo, the Wolf Pack look poised to slice through the WAC, then challenge Boise State on November 26th. That game will be on the green field of Mackay Stadium in Reno.

9. GEORGIA SUCKS

UGA has been overrated for about a decade, and they always seem to get votes in the polls just because they're Georgia. But they really do suck. And to further emphasize how good the SEC West is, it was Mississippi State that beat them 24-12 on Saturday. The Bulldogs are 0-3 in SEC play.

10. WEST VIRGINIA IS THE ONLY GOOD TEAM IN THE BIG EAST

The Mountaineers kept it reasonable against LSU. They dropped from the rankings, but would be 26th in the AP poll, and 28th in the Coaches'. No other Big East team received a vote in either poll. Not even one vote.

Next week we'll learn who'll win the Big XII South (Teas vs. Oklahoma), we'll see just how much better the SEC West really is (Florida @ Alabama), we'll determine the favorite to win the Pac-10 (Stanford @ Oregon), and the Big Ten has two meetings between Top 25 teams.

SOX ELIMINATED




What's been unofficial yet well known has now become official. The Red Sox are out of it. The starry eyed optimists out there might point out that the Sox have the 4th best record in the AL, and the 8th best in baseball. They'll point out the games missed by Youkilis and Pedroia.

But would this team have made the playoffs if they hadn't been so ridden with injury? More importantly, would this team have done something in the playoffs?

The answer to question #1 is "maybe." The answer to question #2 is a resounding "no!"

"Run Prevention." That's what the 2010 Sox were supposedly built for. Yet they've scored 794 runs so far, essentially the same as the Rays, and will finish the season either 2nd or 3rd in both the AL and all of baseball. So the Sox scored runs.

They just allowed too many. 715 to be precise. Only four teams in the American League allowed more runs.

Pedroia missed about half a season. Youkilis missed about 50 games. Their absence did cost the Red Sox some runs scored. But I don't think the Sox would have allowed significantly fewer runs had they been around.

The Red Sox were 21st in team ERA, with 4.17. They also had the 4th most Blown Saves with 21. 4th most, in all of baseball. Only the Orioles, Marlins, and Diamondbacks had more.

Clay Buchholz was stunning this season, but even he lost wins due to the Sox' bullpen. Then there was John Lackey, who pitched like a #4 and not a good #3. Then there was Matsuzaka, who once again missed time with injury, and was once again forgettable when healthy. 9-6 with a 4.72 ERA. He made 24 starts, believe it or not. But only 10 of them were Quality Starts. Compare that to Lackey, who made 19.

And finally, there was the "Ace" Josh Beckett. Like in blackjack and poker, Aces go high and low. Very, very low. Beckett is 6-5 with a 5.77 ERA. Thank God the Sox locked down this hot commodity.

The problem was pitching. Pitching wins, pitching loses. It's good pitching that prevents runs, and bad pitching that prevents wins. Apart from two or three guys, the Sox had awful pitching. I remember the optimists touting the "best rotation in baseball" back in March and April. Morons.

And as if to strengthen my argument, the Yankees and Rays both won behind pitching last night. Sabathia went 8.1, allowing only 1 run off 3 hits. For the Rays, David Price tossed 8 shutout innings. Meanwhile, the Sox got a respectable 6 innings and 2 runs from Lackey, but also had 3 different relievers surrender a run.

By the way, Theo, the Sox are 21st in fielding percentage, with the 10th most errors.

Photo Credits:
AP Photo

Friday, September 24, 2010

ICHIRO MAKES HISTORY


Ichiro Suzuki did something no players has ever done. In the 5th inning of Seattle's 1-0 loss to Toronto, Ichiro hit a single to center. It was his 200th hit of the season. That makes 10 straight years that Ichiro's recorded 200 hits. Nobody's ever done that. Pete Rose had 10 seasons with 200 hits, but not in a row. Ty Cobb had nine 200 hit seasons.

For my money, Ichiro's a Hall of Famer. Not only does he have this record, but he's a 10 time All-Star, won the MVP in '01, along with Rookie of the Year. 9 Gold Gloves, 3 Silver Sluggers, a .331 career average, .376 OBP, and 382 stolen bases.

He's got more than 2,200 hits right now. He's 36, so probably has 4 good years left in him. He has a decent chance to reach 3,000 hits. That's impressive considering he didn't play ball in this country until he was 27.

Imagine if he started playing here when he was 22, though. He might be at 3,200 hits instead of 2,200. And we might be saying he had a shot at 4,256 hits (Rose's record).

Thursday, September 23, 2010

COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS: WEEK 4*

I'm 7-6 on the season, but I'm going to start something different for this week. I'm going to pick based on the spread. I'm taking the spreads from VegasInsider.com.

Thursday - 7:30 PM - ESPN
#19 Miami Hurricanes @ Pitt Panthers.
I'm taking the Canes -3.5. Pittsburgh just doesn't have the athleticism to keep up with Miami. Now, The U is very inconsistent, and I wouldn't take this pick to the bank. But I'll take inconsistent athleticism with a 3.5 point spread any day of the week. Even Thursday.



Friday - 8:00 PM - ESPN
#4 TCU Horned Frogs @ SMU Mustangs
I'll take Texas Christian -17.5 against a crappy SMU team. The Hornded Frogs can score some points, but more importantly, they don't allow many. All they'll need is 31+ from their offense in order to comfortably cover.



The remainder of these games are on Saturday...

3:30 PM - Big Ten Network
Temple Owls @ #23 Penn State Nittany Lions
I don't know much about Temple. I know they beat UConn. And I know PSU hasn't been stellar. But the spread is only 13 points, and Penn State's at home. PSU -13.



3:30 PM - CBS
#1 Alabama Crimson Tide @ #10 Arkansas Razorbacks
This spread opened at 4, then it increased to 7. Considering this is in Fayeteville, I'm going to have to take Arkansas +7.5. Anything less, especially 4, and I'd take Alabama. The Tide will win this game, just not by 8 points.



3:30 PM - NBC
#16 Stanford @ Notre Dame
Stanford -4.5. Notre Dame must have a lot of fans, because it's a joke that they're less than a touchdown underdogs. I know you have a California team playing in South Bend, but you also have a crappy team playing in South Bend that goes by the name of Notre Dame.



7:45 PM - ESPN
#12 South Carolina Gamecocks @ #17 Auburn Tigers
Every part of my brain is telling me to take Auburn, at home, on a Saturday night. They've proven they can win close games, and they've done nothing much wrong so far. But my gut is going with South Carolina +3.



8:00 PM - ABC
#24 Oregon State Beavers @ #3 Boise State Broncos
I'm taking OSU +18. I think this game will feature lots of offense from both sides. Oregon State will never be a threat, but they'll be within 2 touchdowns at the final whistle.



9:00 PM - ESPN2
#22 West Virginia Mountaineers @ #15 LSU Tigers
I'm taking WVU +9.5. Granted, it's a night game in Baton Rouge. Granted, the Mountaineers are "Big East powers," which is like a country bragging about being a "Central African power." It's just not that impressive. That being said, WVU is athletic, and should at least stay in this game.



10:30 PM
#5 Oregon Ducks @ Arizona State Sun Devils
I'm taking Oregon -11. How could you not? I know it's early, and their opponents have been crappy, but the Ducks have outscored opponents by an average of 58 points per game. So I'm taking them -11 against a poor team.

Wednesday, September 22, 2010

WHAT DID WE EXPECT?


I'm not surprised Kevin Faulk is hurt. And I'll make a not-so-bold prediction: he won't be the last Patriots RB to go down this year. It should be expected when your RB Corps collects more Social Security than it takes up cap space. Either 33 year old Sammy Morris or 34 year old Fred Taylor will be next. These guys have hundreds of carries, and thousands of hits under their belt. It's Week 3 of a very long, and soon to be very cold season.

The Patriots will have to endure another major injury at this position, and they can only blame themselves. They need to get youth at this position, and get it in the form of somebody more talented than BJG Ellis.

But Faulk was more than a runningback. He was a playmaker. That's a commodity the Patriots don't have much of. He caught passes, picked up blitzes, and he did so consistently. The Pats might be able to pick up a Larry Johnson, or some other token back to fill in the depth chart, but Kevin Faulks are one in a billion.

SOX CONTINUE SLOW TORTURE


The Red Sox season has been sad, and it's finishing in a sad way. I don't mean like funeral sad, I'm talking lame, weak, wimpy sad. Last Friday, I wrote about the very slim but still very real chance that the Sox had to make the playoffs. They had the Blue Jays and O's coming to town, and all they needed to do was win those games.

And if the Sox had swept Toronto, and won the last 2 against Baltimore, they'd be 2.5 games behind the Rays. That'd be with 11 games left, and that's a very manageable deficit to overcome.

But as it is, the Sox are now 8-9 against the O's on the season. And that just makes me sad.

And Papelbon, good luck getting a big fat contract with an ERA up near 4.

John Lackey faces Kevin Millwood tonight. Millwood is 3-15, which probably means the Sox will give him win #4.

Photo Credit:
AP Photo

Tuesday, September 21, 2010

WHAT WE LEARNED IN COLLEGE FOOTBALL*

Saturday was almost a cataclysmic day for some powerhouses. There were close calls and near misses from Athens to Corvallis. But for the most part, things went as planned Saturday. For the most part. Here are the lessons:

1. NEBRASKA HAS ALREADY WON THE BIG XII NORTH

The Cornhuskers have yet to play a Conference game, but there's nobody in the Big XII North to challenge them. Kansas lost to Southern Miss on Saturday. Missouri barely beat SD State. There's just nobody in that division on the same level as NU.

2. CAL, UCONN, CINCINNATI, AND OLE MISS SUCK

These teams weren't expected to be contenders, but they were expected to be good. Cal lost to Nevada. UConn fell to 1-2, losing to lowly Temple. Cincinnati only managed 19 points in a loss to NC State. Ole Miss couldn't take care of Vanderbilt at home.

3. THE SEC IS BETTER THAN THE BIG TEN

I can't believe there was a text message poll about this during some game. What makes the SEC so great is its depth. SEC teams face relentless schedules. After Ohio State, there's a big dropoff in quality in the Big Ten. Iowa lost to Arizona, and Wisconsin barely beat Arizona State at home. ASU sucks. No excuse for that. Michigan very easily could have lost to Massachusetts. Then there's crap teams like Minnesota, Illinois, Indiana, Northwestern, and Purdue.

4. WHAT HELPS DENARD ROBINSON, WILL ULTIMATELY HURT HIM

241 yards passing, 104 yards rushing, 2 passing TDs, 1 rushing TD. Denard Robinson was once again almost the entire Michigan offense. And while that boosts his Heisman candidacy, the fact that his supporting cast got exposed against UMass may ultimately cost him the Heisman. When Michigan plays legit teams, Robinson might throw for 250, rush for 100, and lose. And if Michigan doesn't contend, Robinson's Heisman campaign takes a big hit.

5. MARK INGRAM IS A BEAST

151 yards and 2 touchdowns for Ingram as he returned to Bama's lineup. In their 62-13 molestation of Duke, the Tide amassed 315 yards just on the ground. They had 626 yards of total offense, and held Duke to 302. Alabama goes through the gauntlet the next few weeks. @ Arkansas on the 25th, vs. Florida on 10/2, then @ South Carolina on October 9th.

6. SOMETHING'S UP WITH OKLAHOMA

Oklahoma has had close calls with Utah State and now Air Force. The Sooners haven't run the ball as well as they should, and their defense has been mediocre. They face Texas in two weeks, so there's time to work the kinks out.

7. OREGON IS SILLY

I'm not overly impressed with Oregon, at least not as much as the experts are. I do think they deserve their #5 ranking, but beating Portland State 69-0 isn't as impressive as beating Stanford 14-13. That being said, Oregon is averaging 63 points a game (1st in country), and allowing 4.3 points per game (1st).

8. THE POLL VOTERS ARE STUPID
Everyone complains about "computers picking the National Champion." But at least the computers (actually, it's a math equation devised by human beings) are unbiased and are not complete and utter morons. How is it that James Madison got 8 votes in the AP Poll? I would love to see the full ballots of the morons who voted for JMU, just to see who else they had. And how does Texas get a #1 vote instead of Alabama or even Ohio State? Then in the Coach's poll, Nebraska got a #1 vote. Somebody actually reasoned that Nebraska has proven they're better than Bama.

Monday, September 20, 2010

WHAT HAPPENED?


What happened Sunday? The Patriots made Mark Sanchez look like a legitimate NFL quarterback. And on the other side of the ball, the Pats' offense played worse when Darrelle Revis left the game.

I'd rip Darius Butler, but I think the Jets abused him enough on Sunday. It got so bad that he resorted to blatant pass interference, not even trying to disguise things.

I wish I could tell you that Darius Butler fought the good fight, and the Jets let him be. I wish I could tell you that. But the NFL is no fairytale world.

Did anybody else see Butler push himself off of Braylon Edwards on that 2 point conversion play?

The Pats' defense was thoroughly exposed on Sunday. In Week 1, the Bengals didn't seem to have a strategy or gameplan for playing the Pats' D. The Jets came prepared. More importantly, they adjusted. They started with long passes and inside running. That didn't work, so they took short passes, and ran both outside and inside. When the Patriots got 4 and 5 man pressure, Sanchez looked like a lost child. But when that pressure didn't come (or the Patriots tried blitzes with too many men), the Jets moved the ball down field with ease.

That being said, the biggest defensive star on the Pats' is a toss-up between Wilfork and Mayo. On offense, there's Tom Brady, Randy Moss, Wes Welker, two touted rookie TEs, and a solid O-line. The defense may have lost this game for the Pats, but it was the offense that didn't go out and win it.

And it starts with the QB. While Brady looked extremely comfortable in the pocket, and eluded pressure, his throws weren't as precise as he's capable of. He overthrew Moss with a deep ball that wound up as an interception. He underthrew Gronkowski on what would have been a key 1st down late in the 3rd.

But what was the gameplan? The Pats came out and ran the ball well with Taylor. They were hitting Moss with underneath stuff (although Moss let a few get past him), and using Welker on some intermediate routes. Then they lost patience with running the ball. The 2 minute drill before halftime saw Aaron Hernandez make an insanely great catch, and run. Then Moss had the catch of the day in the end zone.

Then in the 2nd half, Brady looked awful. The Pats' first drive of the 3rd quarter ended with an interception, which kind of acted like a punt. The Jets scored a touchdown to tie it. Then Brady had that underthrown pass to Gronk. Brady's pick in the 4th was kind of freakish, but why is that pass being attempted at all? 2nd and 3, why are you throwing a duck jumpball to Moss to get 5 yards? It's one thing if that's in the end zone, where the reward is worth the risk.

I'm not going to let Welker and Moss off the hook, either. Welker bobbled a 3rd down pass that would have given the Pats a 1st down. And Moss let a few catchable passes slip through his fingers. The Big Three on offense simply did not perform. The o-line performed. The d-line performed. The RBs and TEs performed. The secondary didn't perform, but they don't take up the same cap space as Brady-Moss-Welker, do they?

Aaron Hernandez caught 6 passes for 101 yards. Combined, Moss and Welker caught 8 passes for 79 yards. Moss and Welker were targeted 17 total times. Some of those incompletions/interceptions were Brady's fault. Some were their fault. Some were both Brady and their fault.

Oh, and Gostkowski needs to make field goals. This is the NFL, 37 yards should be a standard kick. The delay of game penalty that made it 37 yards was a good example of the Patriots' lack of focus, but it could have easily been overcome by the kicker who just signed an extension.

The schedule gets easier as the Pats host the Bills on Sunday. But they'd better get their offense in order before travelling to division leading Miami in October.

Photo Credit:
Getty Images

Friday, September 17, 2010

SO YOU'RE TELLING ME THERE'S A CHANCE...


This time of year, ESPN's MLB standings include a playoff percentage figure. It's what they figure the chances are that a team will make the postseason, based on how many games behind they are, who their opponents are, and so on. And the Red Sox have a 2.9% chance. That sounds about right, don't you think? It's about 30 to 1.

I'll be the super optimist and say that the Sox might have more of a chance than that. They just have to win. Like win every game.

The Sox have 16 games left. 9 are at home, 7 on the road. 3 against Toronto, 3 against Baltimore, 4 against Chicago, and 6 against the Yankees.

The Red Sox need to win 5 of those 6 against the Yankees. 4-2 would take the Sox from 6 games out to 4 out. Not good enough. 5-1 makes it a 2 game race. And the perfect result (6-0), would have the Sox and Yankees tied.

The Yankees are skidding. They've won 2 of their last 10. And while they play 3 against Baltimore this weekend, they have to play 4 against the Rays after that. It's quite conceivable that it'll be a 3 or 4 game deficit by the time the Sox and Yankees meet. But the Sox have to take care of their own business against Toronto and Baltimore first.

You never know...

Thursday, September 16, 2010

COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS: WEEK 3*

I didn't make any picks in Week 2, I was away. Week 3 doesn't feature many exciting matchups. But the most classic college games usually come from the matches you'd least expect. I was 3-3 in Week 1. Here are my selections for Week 3:

All games are on Saturday

12:00PM - ESPN
#12 Arkansas Razorbacks @ Georgia Bulldogs
I'm taking UGA simply because the game is in Athens. I think Arkansas is a great team, but winning on the road in the SEC is no picnic. My gut's saying Go Dawgs! Georgia wins 31-27.



12:00 PM
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ North Carolina Tar Heels
Both teams have fallen short of expectations. Both teams have fallen out of the rankings. UNC has some solid talent, and I'm picking them to win a key game here. UNC 20, GT 14. But I'm posting a picture of a Georgia Tech girl because it's wicked hot.



12:00 PM - ESPNU
Maryland Terrapins @ #21 West Virginia Mountaineers
I'm not impressed by WVU. They barely beat Marshall, and that was thanks to several mistakes from the Herd. Maryland is tough to gauge. They could be good, could be bad. I think West Virginia is undisciplined, and will take this game too lightly. Terps win 28-27.



3:30 PM - ESPNU
BYU Cougars @ Florida State Seminoles
Both teams are looking to get back on track here. BYU was bombed by Air Force, FSU was smoked by the Sooners. I could go either way on this game. I think Florida State has the talent to win what's a vital game for both teams. FSU 38, BYU 31.



7:00 PM - ESPN
Clemson Tigers @ #16 Auburn Tigers
Auburn escaped Mississippi State by the skin of their teeth. But Clemson really doesn't have any teeth. It's kind of sad, but this will serve as a tune-up game for Auburn. AU hosts that other team from South Carolina (the Gamecocks) in two weeks. That other team is ranked. Clemson keeps it close, but will never be a true threat. Auburn 17, Clemson 10.



8:00 PM - ABC
Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ Michigan State Spartans
Notre Dame sucks. MSU is actually half-decent. Easy to pick the Spartans here.



10:30 PM - ESPN
#9 Iowa Hawkeyes @ #24 Arizona Wildcats
I still think Iowa will win the Big Ten. But this is a rough trip for them. Arizona has been a pleasant surprise, and will squeeze one out. Arizona 21, Iowa 17.

Wednesday, September 15, 2010

MARONEY TO DENVER


Remember back in the day, when the WCW would lure older WWF wrestlers. We used to joke that the WCW was the WWF's retirement home. That's what the Broncos are turning into.

Maroney was shipped to the Rockies, along with a 6th round pick. In return, the Patriots received a 4th round pick, and some peace of mind.

Maroney isn't an NFL back. And with injury worries, I'm a bit surprised the Patriots were able to get anything at all for him. He's not a good receiver. His pass-rush protection is forgettable. You can't depend on him to get 1 yard on 3rd and short. And he'll frequently lose yardage. He lacks the one thing that's prized most in a runningback: reliability.

Talk about depreciation in value. The Patriots spent a 1st round pick and millions of cap space on this project, and now wind up with a 4th rounder (and lose a 6th rounder). Maroney serves as a good reminder that Belichick is mortal. And you've seen that the Patriots have since avoided drafting at that position.

Fred Taylor is the #1 back in New England. Today, at least. He was hurt last season. Considering his age, I wouldn't be shocked if he got hurt again. Morris will support, as will Green-Ellis. And the ageless Kevin Faulk will be the "passing down" RB.

In that lineup, there's simply no role for Maroney. When would he be the best (or even second best) choice to run the ball? And this isn't college football. Teams simply don't carry 5 runningbacks.

Looking forward, I'd like the Pats to draft a runningback in 2011. A power back. One who's proven that they can run through contact and still drive forward. Ever since the departure of Corey Dillon, the Pats have lacked that threat. And can you just imagine the headaches opposing defensive coordinators would have trying to stop both Brady AND a dynamic running game.

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

J-E-T-S LOSE LOSE LOSE


What a great weekend for Pats fans. Not only did the Patriots win, but the Colts lost, and the Jets lost. I don't mind the Chargers or Favre's Vikings losing either.

Mark Sanchez may have plenty of talent. But talent is about 10% of being a quality NFL quarterback. The rest of it is poise, decision making, awareness. So until The Sanchize shows some of these "intangibles," can we not give him credit for being anything but a subpar player? 10 for 21 for 74 yards last night. Of the 6 Jet first downs (not a typo, they got 6 first downs), only 2 came from the pass.

Then throw in the story of the Mexican reporter getting verbally harassed by Jet players AND coaches, and maybe people will start to realize that the undisciplined, snack happy atmosphere fomented by Fatasaurus Rex is better suited for reality TV, and not an NFL team.





Granted, she's ridiculously hot, and not a traditional reporter. Nevertheless, she's a member of the media, not a stripper. Somehow, every other NFL team has managed to treat her like a reporter.